Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 61.575031 69.954483 78.543350 87.971184 97.996452 108.308301 119.686436
2025-12-07 49.498908 61.561512 74.503840 89.283079 105.562190 122.829168 142.415023
2025-12-14 40.996488 54.862666 70.281447 88.408641 108.873540 131.031308 156.615611
2025-12-21 33.891727 48.781905 65.919911 86.613367 110.487761 136.793496 167.617421
2025-12-28 30.993026 47.212437 66.374247 89.964240 117.598341 148.413480 184.878805
2026-01-04 27.824822 44.934919 65.686760 91.719068 122.656017 157.538178 199.187563
2026-01-11 24.062098 41.517709 63.311757 91.204038 124.848983 163.212951 209.431086
2026-01-18 20.839563 38.480510 61.152080 90.729570 126.906904 168.584467 219.200702
2026-01-25 18.437612 36.314156 59.911879 91.229564 130.002112 175.063715 230.163064
2026-02-01 15.872226 33.656276 57.841500 90.534061 131.525254 179.598300 238.787528
2026-02-08 13.832789 31.553895 56.352629 90.449275 133.693647 184.818619 248.148725
2026-02-15 11.741650 29.139811 54.277811 89.479458 134.666647 188.535093 255.679484
2026-02-22 10.525085 28.013310 53.939814 90.765181 138.471562 195.698943 267.359454
2026-03-01 9.492769 27.080892 53.810342 92.284036 142.546806 203.183081 279.427849
2026-03-08 7.930101 25.026173 51.930063 91.359342 143.449888 206.759849 286.797226
2026-03-15 6.351627 22.690395 49.477071 89.537108 143.113312 208.752843 292.214483
2026-03-22 6.100724 22.885538 50.835759 92.948662 149.520651 219.029629 307.592343
2026-03-29 5.531091 22.360250 51.044214 94.735689 153.805109 226.681691 319.806540
2026-04-05 4.574958 20.864199 49.647519 94.211261 155.030657 230.517434 327.386206
2026-04-12 3.744586 19.474239 48.326861 93.728160 156.262404 234.326771 334.908345
2026-04-19 3.170360 18.566404 47.728795 94.237257 158.776213 239.717627 344.342509
2026-04-26 2.497394 17.230698 46.331716 93.529084 159.627934 242.994886 351.175296
2026-05-03 1.995428 16.206386 45.392419 93.442749 161.278675 247.255355 359.196004